NIFL Premiership

544 matches with Bet365 closing odds, seasons 24/25 to 26/27. Results use the 90-minute score.

Home win44.9%

Draw19.7%

Away win35.5%

Goals per match: 2.72

Results by home closing odds

How often the home team actually won at each price level, next to the win chance the odds implied once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The biggest gap between price and result is in the 1.01–1.29 home-odds band: home teams won 87.5% of 32 matches while the odds implied 74.4% (+13.1 points). Small samples move a lot, so treat single-band differences with caution.

Home odds	Matches	Home won	Implied	Draw	Away won
1.01–1.29	32	87.5%	74.4%	6.2%	6.2%
1.30–1.49	56	75.0%	65.2%	10.7%	14.3%
1.50–1.69	62	61.3%	56.8%	12.9%	25.8%
1.70–1.99	80	52.5%	50.0%	23.8%	23.8%
2.00–2.39	88	29.5%	41.9%	33.0%	37.5%
2.40–2.99	70	37.1%	34.3%	24.3%	38.6%
3.00–3.99	71	33.8%	26.9%	21.1%	45.1%
4.00+	85	21.2%	17.5%	12.9%	65.9%

Most common closing prices

1 / X / 2	Matches	Home	Draw	Away
1.80 / 3.50 / 4.00	3	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
1.83 / 3.40 / 3.50	3	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
1.83 / 3.50 / 3.90	3	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2.10 / 3.40 / 3.10	3	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
3.10 / 3.40 / 2.15	3	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.25 / 5.00 / 8.50	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.29 / 5.25 / 7.00	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.30 / 4.50 / 8.00	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.30 / 5.25 / 7.50	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.33 / 4.50 / 8.00	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.40 / 4.75 / 7.00	2	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%
1.48 / 4.20 / 5.50	2	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%
1.57 / 3.90 / 5.00	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.57 / 4.10 / 4.75	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.60 / 3.90 / 4.75	2	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%

By season

Season	Matches	Home	Draw	Away
26/27	87	43.7%	17.2%	39.1%
25/26	232	46.6%	17.7%	35.8%
24/25	225	43.6%	22.7%	33.8%